wctracker.idtracker.co [ world cup ]as of 2026-07-17 WIB · 72/72 group games · 50,000-run model
⚠ FOR ENTERTAINMENT ONLY — anonymous statistical model, not betting advice. Figures are estimates, not facts. No party is liable for any use. Gamble responsibly, legal age only.
Model champion
Spain 55.2%
Movers since last run
vs 2026-07-17
Spain +23.3pp Argentina +15.8pp France -13.4pp England -7.6pp Colombia -3.4pp Brazil -2.4pp

Results — 2026-07-17 (WIB)

KOScore / W-D-WVenue
no completed matches dated today (WIB)

Fixtures — today 2026-07-17 (WIB)

KOModel W/D/WVenue
none

Next matchday — group stage complete (WIB)

KOModel W/D/WVenue
none

Title odds — model vs market

#TeamModelMarketFairUSLean
1Spain55.2%16.2%1.81-123model +39.0
2Argentina44.8%9.0%2.23+123model +35.8
3France0.0%16.2%——market +16.2
4England0.0%10.5%——market +10.5
5Brazil0.0%9.0%——market +9.0
6Portugal0.0%10.0%——market +10.0
7Colombia0.0%2.0%——market +2.0
8Netherlands0.0%4.0%——market +4.0
9Germany0.0%5.0%——market +5.0
10Belgium0.0%2.0%——market +2.0
11Croatia0.0%———
12Morocco0.0%2.0%——market +2.0

Predicted podium

Champion
Spain
Runner-up
Argentina
Third
France
Champion's simulated path
  • R32 v Austria 3–0
  • R16 v Portugal 0–1
  • QF v Belgium 2–1
  • SF v France 0–2
  • Final v Argentina 1–1 aet/pens

Model knockout picks projected bracket

Group stage complete — all 32 teams placed by the official FIFA bracket; every tie projected by the model. Highlighted = model pick (Elo + 50,000-run sim). Full-tournament odds are in the cards above. For entertainment only.

R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
SF
QF
R16
R32
Germany1
Paraguay1p
France3
Sweden0
South Africa0
Canada1
Netherlands1
Morocco1p
Portugal2
Croatia1
Spain3
Austria0
USA2
Bosnia-Herzegovina0
Belgium3
Senegal2
Paraguay0
France1
Canada0
Morocco3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
France0
Spain2
Champion
Spain
projected
Spain1p
Argentina1
England1
Argentina2
Norway1
England2
Argentina3
Switzerland1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland0p
Colombia0
Brazil2
Japan1
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
DR Congo1
Argentina3
Cape Verde2
Australia1
Egypt1p
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Colombia1
Ghana0
Model pick — projected to advanceWinner / Runner-up Group X — locks when that group finishes3rd: Group X ? — projected best-third source; firms up once all 12 groups finish

Round of 32 · 16 picks

Canada v South Africa1–056%
Paraguay v Germany1–1 pens29%
Morocco v Netherlands1–1 pens46%
Brazil v Japan2–167%
France v Sweden3–086%
Norway v Ivory Coast2–167%
Mexico v Ecuador2–061%
England v DR Congo2–186%
USA v Bosnia-Herzegovina2–063%
Belgium v Senegal3–272%
Portugal v Croatia2–165%
Spain v Austria3–093%
Switzerland v Algeria2–074%
Argentina v Cape Verde3–295%
Colombia v Ghana1–084%
Egypt v Australia1–1 pens54%

Round of 16 · 8 picks

France v Paraguay1–089%
Morocco v Canada3–077%
Norway v Brazil2–141%
England v Mexico3–274%
Spain v Portugal1–080%
Belgium v USA4–173%
Argentina v Egypt3–291%
Switzerland v Colombia0–0 pens38%

Quarter-finals · 4 picks

France v Morocco2–073%
Spain v Belgium2–181%
England v Norway2–169%
Argentina v Switzerland3–183%

Semi-finals · 2 picks

Spain v France2–065%
Argentina v England2–168%

Final · 1 picks

Spain v Argentina1–1 pens55%

Group standings

Actual results only — points from matches already played. No simulation.

Group A

TeamPPtsGD
Mexico39+6
South Africa34-1
South Korea33-1
Czechia31-4

Group B

TeamPPtsGD
Switzerland37+4
Canada34+5
Bosnia-Herzegovina34-1
Qatar31-8

Group C

TeamPPtsGD
Brazil37+6
Morocco37+3
Scotland33-3
Haiti30-6

Group D

TeamPPtsGD
USA36+4
Australia34+0
Paraguay34-2
Turkiye33-2

Group E

TeamPPtsGD
Germany36+6
Ivory Coast36+2
Ecuador34+0
Curacao31-8

Group F

TeamPPtsGD
Netherlands37+6
Japan35+4
Sweden34+0
Tunisia30-10

Group G

TeamPPtsGD
Belgium35+4
Egypt35+2
Iran33+0
New Zealand31-6

Group H

TeamPPtsGD
Spain37+5
Cape Verde33+0
Uruguay32-1
Saudi Arabia32-4

Group I

TeamPPtsGD
France39+8
Norway36+1
Senegal33+2
Iraq30-11

Group J

TeamPPtsGD
Argentina39+7
Austria34-1
Algeria34-2
Jordan30-4

Group K

TeamPPtsGD
Colombia37+3
Portugal35+5
DR Congo34+1
Uzbekistan30-9

Group L

TeamPPtsGD
England37+4
Croatia36+0
Ghana34+0
Panama30-4